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Today’s TFA Posts ⚽

The 2025/2026 Premier League season has already begun to reveal significant differences between teams in how effectively they convert shooting opportunities into goals.

While league standings often reflect overall performance, examining shot quality, expected goals (xG), and finishing efficiency provides a deeper understanding of whether a team is genuinely performing at its level or overachieving in ways unlikely to be sustained.

Some sides have climbed the table on the back of exceptional conversion rates despite generating modest xG, raising questions about how long such finishing form can realistically continue.

Others have created a high volume of quality chances but struggled to convert, suggesting potential upward movement as finishing regresses to the mean.

These underlying numbers offer crucial tactical insights, highlighting which teams depend heavily on moments of individual efficiency and which rely on structurally consistent chance creation.

Understanding these patterns can clarify whether the current league table reflects sustainable performance or temporary overperformance.

In this Premier League data analysis, we will examine shot volume, shot quality, xG trends, and finishing efficiency to assess sustainability and tactical implications.

Napoli faced Qarabağ in the fifth fixture of the UEFA Champions League group stage and won by two goals, in a very tricky match that could have gone the other way if Napoli had not been determined and disciplined enough to win.

Qarabağ proved in the previous fixtures of this UEFA Champions League season that they are capable of beating and disturbing any team, even if playing an away game.

With wins against Benfica away, a win against Copenhagen, and a 2-2 draw against Chelsea, Qarabağ have already highlighted their ability to play without fear against the bigger teams and get to obtain positive results from such matches as well.

Their most remarkable strengths are the technical abilities of their players across all positions and the disciplined organisation of their lines, which allow them to play modern football based on quick, accurate short passing and penetrations into the box, relying on wingers and midfielders.

What is even more remarkable with Qarabağ is that they don’t hesitate to press high and play with a cautious high defensive line.

This allows them to be very aggressive with their initial high pressing, leading opponents to lose the ball in their build-up phase and then exploiting those recoveries with powerful shots from distance.

It counts for Napoli that they resisted Qarabağ’s high-pressing efforts and their attempts to score early in the game, progressively gaining more possession and advancing more frequently while overcoming that initial high pressing.

It is true that Napoli also conceded a few dangerous chances after losing the ball in their own half, but defending well against Qarabağ’s players and limiting their penetration and shooting attempts were crucial for the Azzurri to avoid conceding goals in this match.

With this win, Gli Azzurri took another step towards qualification for the knockout round playoffs, having only four points before the start of this match.

The victory against Qarabağ allowed them to climb to the 18th spot with seven points, two wins, two losses, and one draw.

In this tactical analysis of the match between Napoli and Qarabağ, our attention will be directed to exploring Napoli’s attacking solutions in this match.

The analysis will shed light on the David Neres and Noa Lang duo and its impact on Napoli’s attacking performance, as well as Napoli’s reliance on the right flank/wing to break down Qarabağ’s defensive lines.

TFA Archives 📆

Arne Slot's Liverpool have 9 losses in 12 games and are having a horrible run of form.

Take a look at our tactical analysis from the 2024/2025 season from when they were Premier League champions.

Can he fix things?

Luis Enrique: “Vitinha has been sensational, as always. Next Ballon d’Or? Well… I hope so”.

After his hat trick yesterday to get PSG 3 crucial points, take a dive back to our 2021/2022 scout report.

Sofyan Amrabat on his loan at Betis from Fenerbahçe: “I’m so happy here, it’s a great club”.

We named him the most impressive performer at the 2022 FIFA World Cup.

Take a look at that scout report.

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